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Implications of The Russia-Georgia Conflict

August 16, 2008

On friday, August 8th, as President Bush and Russian Prime Minister Putin enjoyed the Olympic Opening Ceremonies in Beijing, Russian invaded the democratic country of Georgia.  In the past week Russia has claimed that Georgia started the conflict by attacking Russian Peacekeepers.  Georgia says it was just attempting to regain control over South Ossetian Seperatists that have been attacking Georgians.

French President Sarkozy negotiated a ceasefire in which both sides were to withdraw to their prewar positions.  Georgia withdrew immediately.  Russia continued deeper into Georgian territory.  PM Putin said the only way to end the conflict was to remove Georgian President Saakashvili from power.  Now, one week after the conflict began Russia holds one-third of Georgia and still has refused to withdraw. 

One needs to ask what is really the cause of Russia invading Georgia.  On Tuesday, PM Putin claimed that the invasion was the fault of the United States because the US equipped and trained the Georgian army.  On wednesday he said the United States had to decide between its association with Georgia and its partnership with Russia.  Yesterday, Russian President Medvedev declared that George Bush was to blame.  Apparently, Bush didn’t want war in Georgia, but because Senator Obama was ahead of Senator McCain in the polls for the US Presidential race, Bush engineered the Russian-Georgian conflict to aid Senator McCain’s bid for the White House.

At the same time, Russia has threatened Poland with nuclear attack for agreeing to accept a US anti-missile defense shield.  Ukraine is threatened by Russia, Latvia is threatened, Lithuania is threatened.  All the former Soviet Satelite Nations are threatened.  But why?  And who is Russia’s real target?

All of those nations at risk have two things in common.  First, they have all adopted a democratic form of government which Russia cannot allow on its border.  Second, and most importantly, they have all grown closer to the US, economically and politically.  While Russia has a strong desire to regain control of these nations, the same as Georgia seeking to regain control over its breakaway provinces, Russia has a bigger goal in mind.  These nations’ relationship to the US is the reason they are all at risk.  And the US is at risk as well.  It is beginning to appear that the US is the main target of the Russian aggression.

Russia has continually opposed the US in the UN Security Counsel.  They support our worse enemies.  They sell weapons to Iran, Cuba and Venezuela.  They sell weapons and military equipment to China.  The Russians and China have entered into The Treaty for Good Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation.  They have begun holding joint Russian-Chinese military training operations.  Both Russia and China sell weapons to our enemies.  Both Russia and China oppose the US at the UN Security Counsel. 

There have been anecdotal reports of Russian, Chinese, North Korean and Cubans soldiers in Mexico along the US border.  While an unsubstanstiated anecdotal report is not evidence, it must be considered with the known facts when national security is at stake. 

We are moving ever closer to an unavoidable armed conflict with Russia and its allies.  But why?  The relationship between Russia and the US has always been tenuous at best, but Russia has never come this close to an attack against the US, so why now?  The United States has been in the war on terror for almost 7 years now.  Our military is tied up in Afghanistan and Iraq.  We currently have soldiers in numerous other places fighting the war on terror and protecting allies that we have agreements to provide protection for.  The American people are war weary.  We have allowed the democrats to convince us that we are in a recession, heading towards a depression.  In short, we are in no condition, militarily, financially or morally to fight another war.  Now is the perfect time for an attack on the US.

Conservative talk radio host, Mark Levin has suggested that the US adopt the same approach to Russia that President Reagan used against the Soviet Union in the 80’s.  He wants to arm and equip Georgia, and the other Former Soviet Satelite nations to defend themselves against Russia.  That was a good plan for President Reagan, but those were different times and different circumstances.  Now, it is just a start.

If the US is to survive this, we will need more.  The first thing we need to do is secure energy self-sufficiency.  We need to start drilling for our own oil, exploit our coal reserves and develope new forms of energy.  We need to do this before Russia turns off the tap to Europe.  If we wait, Russia will turn off energy to Europe and oil prices will set new record highs.  Russia is not unwilling to use oil as a weapon to get what they want.  Just ask the Czechoslovakians.  Russia has already used oil to bring them back inline once.  They will do it again to all of Europe.

The second step is to rebuild our military.  The Russians have a 1.02 million man army.  The Chinese have a 5 to 10 million man army.  The US needs to maintain a military capable of standing up to those numbers. 

In 1929 the American economy collapsed when Wall Street fell.  In November of 1941, it still hadn’t fully recovered.  The military was devestated after WWI.  It was felt that we didn’t need a large military anymore.  December 1941 taught us that we were wrong.  There were arguments that we couldn’t afford to get into WWII.  Those arguments were the same arguments that are being used about Iraq now.  And they will be the same about war with Russia and its allies.  But in WWII, we managed to rebuild our economy and military while we fought.  We did it then, we can do it now.  And we need to. 

When President Medvedev suggests that Bush engineered the war in Georgia to ensure McCain’s election, it becomes clear that we only have until November 2008 to get ready.  If McCain wins, Russia will invade the US under the pretense of taking out a militaristic government that the “people” voted against.  If Obama wins in November, Russia will still be able to invade based on Obama’s initial reaction to the invasion of Georgia and his stand that he will never “under any circumstance” use nuclear weapons to defend the US.

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. August 16, 2008 9:57 am

    I’ve been reading along for a while now. I just wanted to drop you a comment to say keep up the good work.

  2. August 16, 2008 10:30 am

    Hi,

    I’m just getting started with my new blog. Would you want to exchange links on our blog-rolls?

    BTW – I’m up to about 100 visitors per day.

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